What are the jobs of the future? How many will there be? And who will have them? We might imagineand hopethat todays industrial revolution will unfold like the last: even as some jobs are eliminated, more will be created to deal with the new innovations of a new era. In Rise of the Robots, Silicon Valley entrepreneur Martin Ford argues that this is absolutely not the case. As technology continues to accelerate and machines begin taking care of themselves, fewer people will be necessary. Artificial intelligence is already well on its way to making good jobs obsolete: many paralegals, journalists, office workers, and even computer programmers are poised to be replaced by robots and smart software. As progress continues, blue and white collar jobs alike will evaporate, squeezing working- and middle-class families ever further. At the same time, households are under assault from exploding costs, especially from the two major industrieseducation and health carethat, so far, have not been transformed by information technology. The result could well be massive unemployment and inequality as well as the implosion of the consumer economy itself.
In Rise of the Robots, Ford details what machine intelligence and robotics can accomplish, and implores employers, scholars, and policy makers alike to face the implications. The past solutions to technological disruption, especially more training and education, arent going to work, and we must decide, now, whether the future will see broad-based prosperity or catastrophic levels of inequality and economic insecurity.Rise of the Robots is essential reading for anyone who wants to understand what accelerating technology means for their own economic prospectsnot to mention those of their childrenas well as for society as a whole.Onderstaande tekst is vertaald.
Wat zijn de banen van de toekomst? Hoeveel zullen er zijn? En wie zal hen hebben? We kunnen imagineand hopethat vandaag & # 146; s industriële revolutie zal ontvouwen als de vorige: zelfs als sommige banen worden geëlimineerd, zal meer worden gemaakt om te gaan met de nieuwe innovaties van een nieuw tijdperk. In Rise of the Robots, Silicon Valley ondernemer Martin Ford stelt dat dit absoluut niet het geval. Aangezien de technologie wordt steeds heviger en machines beginnen met het verzorgen van zichzelf, zullen minder mensen nodig zijn. Kunstmatige intelligentie is al goed op weg naar het maken van goede banen & # 148; verouderd: vele paralegals, journalisten, kantoorpersoneel en zelfs computerprogrammeurs zijn klaar om te worden vervangen door robots en slimme software. Als vooruitgang blijft, blauwe en witte boorden banen alike zal verdampen, knijpen werk- en middenklasse gezinnen steeds verder. Op hetzelfde moment, huishoudens onder aanval van exploderende kosten, met name uit de twee grote industrieseducation en gezondheid carethat, tot nu toe niet zijn veranderd door de informatietechnologie. Het resultaat zou wel eens massale werkloosheid en ongelijkheid, alsmede de implosie van de consument economie zelf.
In Rise of the Robots, Ford Gegevens welke machine intelligentie en robotica kunnen bereiken, en smeekt werkgevers, geleerden, en beleidsmakers zowel de gevolgen onder ogen zien. Het verleden oplossingen voor technologische verstoring, in het bijzonder meer training en opleiding, aren & # 146; t gaat werken, en we moeten beslissen, nu de vraag of de toekomstige brede welvaart of katastrofisch niveaus van ongelijkheid en economische insecurity.Rise van het ziet robots is essentieel leesmateriaal voor iedereen die wil om te begrijpen wat het versnellen van technologie betekent voor hun eigen economische prospectsnot aan die van hun childrenas maar ook voor de samenleving als geheel te noemen.
Of all the moderns who have written on automation and rising joblessness, Martin Ford is the original. His Rise of the Robots: Technology and the Threat of a Jobless Future is due out this May... Self-recommending. --Marginal Revolution Robots, and their like, are on the rise. Their impact will be an important question in the next decade and beyond. Martin Ford has been thinking in this area before most others, so this book deserves very careful consideration. --Lawrence Summers, President Emeritus and Charles W. Eliot University Professor, Harvard University It's not easy to accept, but it's true. Education and hard work will no longer guarantee success for huge numbers of people as technology advances. The time for denial is over. Now it's time to consider solutions and there are very few proposals on the table. Rise of the Robots presents one idea, the basic income model, with clarity and force. No one who cares about the future of human dignity can afford to skip this book. --Jaron Lanier, author of You Are Not a Gadget and Who Owns the Future? Compelling and well-written... In his conception, the answer is a combination of short-term policies and longer-term initiatives, one of which is a radical idea that may gain some purchase among gloomier techno-profits: a guaranteed income for all citizens. If that stirs up controversy, that's the point. The book is both lucid and bold, and certainly a starting point for robust debate about the future of all workers in an age of advancing robotics and looming artificial intelligence systems. --ZDNet An alarming new book. --Esquire A thorough look at how far machines have come --Washington Post, Innovations blog Ford offers ideas on changes in social policies, including guaranteed income, to keep our economy humming and prepare ourselves for a more automated future. --Booklist A careful and courageous examination of automation and its possible impact on society. --Kirkus Reviews In Rise of the Robots, Ford coolly and clearly considers what work is under threat from automation. --New Scientist Makes clear the need to come to grips with ever more rapidly advancing technology and its effects on how people make a living and how the economy functions. --Pittsburgh Tribune-Review Whether you agree or not with the policy prescriptions put forward by [Martin Ford's Rise of the Robots and Anne-Marie Slaughter's Unfinished Business] these two well-written books, and quite a few will likely disagree, they are important reads for those wishing to better understand and influence the future. --Bloomberg Business, Mohamed El-Erian Few captured the mood as well as Martin Ford in The Rise of the Robots, the winner of the FT and McKinsey Business Book of the Year Award, which painted a bleak picture of the upheavals that would come as ever-greater numbers of even highly skilled workers were displaced by machines. --Financial Times [A] breathtaking new book on modern economics. --Forbes.com Lucid, comprehensive and unafraid to grapple fairly with those who dispute Ford's basic thesis, Rise of the Robots is an indispensable contribution to a long-running argument. --Los Angeles Times If The Second Machine Age was last year's tech-economy title of choice, this book may be 2015's equivalent. --Financial Times, Summer books 2015, Business, Andrew Hill [Ford's] a careful and thoughtful writer who relies on ample evidence, clear reasoning, and lucid economic analysis. In other words, it's entirely possible that he's right. --Daily Beast Rise of the Robots is an excellent book. Fair-minded, balanced, well-researched, and fully thought through. --Inside Higher Ed, Learn blog Surveying all the fields now being affected by automation, Ford makes a compelling case that this is an historic disruption--a fundamental shift from most tasks being performed by humans to one where most tasks are done by machines. --Fast Company Well written with interesting stories about both business and technology. --Wired/Dot Physics Winner of the 2015 FT & McKinsey Business Book of the Year Award A New York Times Bestseller Top Business Book of 2015 at Forbes One of NBCNews.com 12 Notable Science and Technology Books of 2015 For nonfiction, I tip my hat to Martin Ford's Rise of the Robots, which is vacuuming up accolades and is recommended reading for IIF staff. Ford's analysis, in a somewhat crowded field of similar books, offers a sobering assessment of how technology (robotics, machine learning, AI, etc.) is reshaping labor markets, the composition of growth, and the distribution of income and wealth, and calls for enlightened political and policy leadership to address coming, accelerating disruptions and dislocations. --Bloomberg Business, Timothy Adams We are in an era of technological optimism but sociological pessimism. Martin Ford's Rise of the Robots captures why these shifts are related and what challenges this might pose to our conventional economic and social infrastructures. --Bloomberg Business, Andy Haldane Ever since the Luddites, pessimists have believed that technology would destroy jobs. So far they have been wrong. Martin Ford shows with great clarity why today's automated technology will be much more destructive of jobs than previous technological innovation. This is a book that everyone concerned with the future of work must read. --Lord Robert Skidelsky, Emeritus Professor of Political Economy at the University of Warwick, co-author of How Much Is Enough?: Money and the Good Life and author of the three-volume biography of John Maynard Keynes Martin Ford has thrust himself into the center of the debate over AI, big data, and the future of the economy with a shrewd look at the forces shaping our lives and work. As an entrepreneur pioneering many of the trends he uncovers, he speaks with special credibility, insight, and verve. Business people, policy makers, and professionals of all sorts should read this book right away--before the 'bots steal their jobs. Ford gives us a roadmap to the future. --Kenneth Cukier, Data Editor for the Economist and co-author of Big Data: A Revolution That Will Transform How We Live, Work, and Think If the robots are coming for my job (too), then Martin Ford is the person I want on my side, not to fend them off but to construct a better world where we can all--humans and our machines--live more prosperously together. Rise of the Robots goes far beyond the usual fear-mongering punditry to suggest an action plan for a better future. --Cathy N. Davidson, Distinguished Professor and Director, The Futures Initiative, The Graduate Center, CUNY and author of Now You See It: How the Brain Science of Attention Will Transform the Way We Live, Work, and Learn Mr. Ford lucidly sets out myriad examples of how focused applications of versatile machines (coupled with human helpers where necessary) could displace or de-skill many jobs... His answer to a sharp decline in employment is a guaranteed basic income, a safety net that he suggests would both cushion the effect on the newly unemployable and encourage entrepreneurship among those creative enough to make a new way for themselves. This is a drastic prescription for the ills of modern industrialization--ills whose severity and very existence are hotly contested. Rise of the Robots provides a compelling case that they are real, even if its more dire predictions are harder to accept. --Wall Street Journal Well-researched and disturbingly persuasive. --Financial Times [Rise of the Robots is]about as scary as the title suggests. It's not science fiction, but rather a vision (almost) of economic Armageddon. --Frank Bruni, New York Times As Martin Ford documents in Rise of the Robots, the job-eating maw of technology now threatens even the nimblest and most expensively educated...the human consequences of robotization are already upon us, and skillfully chronicled here. --New York Times Book Review