Applied Bayesian Forecasting and Time Series Analysis

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  • Engels
  • Hardcover
  • 9780412044014
  • 01 september 1994
  • 409 pagina's
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Samenvatting

This book is about practical forecasting and analysis of time series. It describes how to analyse time series data, how to identify structure, how to explain observed behaviour, how to model structures and behaviours, and how to use insight gained from the analysis to make informed forecasts.



Practical in its approach, Applied Bayesian Forecasting and Time Series Analysis provides the theories, methods, and tools necessary for forecasting and the analysis of time series. The authors unify the concepts, model forms, and modeling requirements within the framework of the dynamic linear mode (DLM). They include a complete theoretical development of the DLM and illustrate each step with analysis of time series data. Using real data sets the authors: Explore diverse aspects of time series, including how to identify, structure, explain observed behavior, model structures and behaviors, and interpret analyses to make informed forecasts Illustrate concepts such as component decomposition, fundamental model forms including trends and cycles, and practical modeling requirements for routine change and unusual events Conduct all analyses in the BATS computer programs, furnishing online that program and the more than 50 data sets used in the text The result is a clear presentation of the Bayesian paradigm: quantified subjective judgements derived from selected models applied to time series observations. Accessible to undergraduates, this unique volume also offers complete guidelines valuable to researchers, practitioners, and advanced students in statistics, operations research, and engineering.

Productspecificaties

Inhoud

Taal
en
Bindwijze
Hardcover
Oorspronkelijke releasedatum
01 september 1994
Aantal pagina's
409
Illustraties
Nee

Betrokkenen

Hoofdauteur
Andy Pole
Tweede Auteur
Mike West
Co Auteur
Jeff Harrison
Hoofdredacteur
Mike West
Tweede Redacteur
Jeff Harrison
Hoofduitgeverij
Chapman & Hall/Crc

Overige kenmerken

Extra groot lettertype
Nee
Product breedte
164 mm
Product hoogte
29 mm
Product lengte
241 mm
Studieboek
Nee
Verpakking breedte
156 mm
Verpakking hoogte
234 mm
Verpakking lengte
234 mm
Verpakkingsgewicht
739 g

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EAN
9780412044014
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